The Strategies and Struggles of the Turkish Opposition under Autocratization

Source:MEI@75 Date:05Oct2022

1. Opposition actors are well aware that one more election win for Erdoğan will lead to the institutionalization of autocratization. Therefore, the 2023 elections will be a watershed moment for the opposition and the country more broadly.
2. The Turkish opposition’s strategy has two main pillars: forming electoral alliances to ensure unity against Erdoğan and using new discursive strategies to counter his polarizing discourse.
3. Although the opposition appears to agree on its strong alliance strategy, there are significant challenges ahead: rivalry within the opposition, internal division, and polarization on critical issues.

A very comprehesinsive analysis of the three scenarios for 2023 elections, among other things.

The oppositon sweeps both the presidency and legislature

Erdogan-Bahceli do the same

Opposition wins either the presidency or the legislature